Boston (54-48) vs Philadelphia (57-43)
July 22, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Boston Red Sox and Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 54-48 on the year and play the Dodgers, Twins, and Astros next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .254 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .429 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 105 hits and 51 RBI, while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 185 hits and 107 RBI.
Richard Fitts gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. This will be Fitts’ first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 57-43 on the year and play the Yankees, White Sox, and Tigers next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .254 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .404 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 115 hits and 41 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Alec Bohm have combined for 200 hits and 95 RBI.
Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 1-0 with a 6.43 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against American League opponents.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
The Phillies have lost each of their last six home games against the Red Sox following a home win.
The Red Sox have won each of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park following a home win.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five road games against the Phillies following a loss.
The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in five of his last nine home appearances with the Phillies against AL opponents.
Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Red Sox.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 5th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Red Sox are off to a rough start in the second half, and their offense has scored two or fewer runs in three of four games. That’s not going to fly against a team like the Phillies, and Fitts doesn’t have the sample size to trust with just 33.2 innings. Sanchez is putting up all-star numbers with a 2.50 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, and he’s allowed three runs in his last 21.1 innings. Sanchez has allowed five runs in his last 37.1 innings. In 48.2 home innings, Sanchez has a 2.96 ERA and .219 allowed batting average. I’m going to side with the Phillies with Sanchez on the bump.