| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 87-75 | 93-68 |
| Spread | +1.5 -190 | -1.5 156 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -145 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (100) | Under 6.5 (-120) |
| Where | New York Stadium | |
| When | Tuesday, September 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC | |
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 87-75 on the year and just played the Rays, Guardians, and Cubs. The Boston Red Sox are batting .245 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and have a .397 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 153 hits and 70 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Caleb Durbin have combined for 274 hits and 140 RBI.
Payton Tolle gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 9-6 with a 3.03 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. Tolle is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees. Tolle is 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA and 0 strikeouts in his postseason career.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 93-68 this year and just played the Rays and Orioles. The New York Yankees are batting .235 on the season, with a .311 OBP and a .409 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 151 hits and 97 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 240 hits and 128 RBI.
Cam Schlittler gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA and 239 strikeouts this season. Schlittler is 2-1 with a 0.74 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox. Schlittler is 1-1 with a 1.26 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Red Sox and Yankees.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six Tuesday night games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday home playoff games.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have won three of the Red Sox’s last four games.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 games as home favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Thirteen of the Yankees’ last 14 games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- George Lombard Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as home favorites.
- Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Yankee Stadium.
- Cam Schlittler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Red Sox after not playing the previous day.
- Cam Schlittler ranks T3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (239) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in four of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs.
- Payton Tolle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Willson Contreras ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.516) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (223).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (601).
- The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.54).
- The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (469).
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction
Tolle has been solid in his last few starts, and he’s been even better through 72 innings on the road, where he has a 2.50 ERA and a .202 allowed batting average. However, Schlittler has been ridiculous all season, with a 1.95 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, and he’s allowed 14 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 35.2 innings. In 78 at-bats against current Red Sox hitters, Schlittler has a .167 allowed batting average, .207 on-base percentage, and 25 strikeouts. Rivalry game and there’s going to be pressure in the building, but we’re getting a reasonable price and arguably the hottest arm in the sport. I have to side with the Yankees.