Boston (69-59) vs New York (69-58)
August 22, 2025 at 07:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 69-59 on the year and play the Orioles, Pirates, and Guardians next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .252 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 130 hits and 69 RBI, while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 230 hits and 131 RBI.
Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 9-6 with a 3.23 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Bello is 4-3 with a 2.21 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 69-58 on the year and play the Nationals, White Sox, and Astros next. The New York Yankees are batting .251 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .453 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 140 hits and 92 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 240 hits and 117 RBI.
Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 13-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 141 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the New York Yankees will win
The Yankees have won each of their last six home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
The Red Sox have lost five of their last six road games following a win.
The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
The road team has won each of the Yankees’ last seven games.
The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Red Sox following a loss.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last five games.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
Max Fried has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents .
Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.680) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees should get the benefit of doubt because they’re at home and Fried has been fantastic this season. However, the Yankees have had issues stringing wins together, and Fried has allowed 24 hits and 15 runs in his last 15 innings. It’s been a rough august for Fried. Bello has been solid in his own right, and that includes eight earned runs in his last 25 innings. The Red Sox won last night and have the hotter pitcher on the mound. I’ll take a shot with the Red Sox again in this heated MLB rivalry.