Miami Marlins (30-54) vs Boston Red Sox (44-39)
Game Info: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +149 / Boston Red Sox -179 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Red Sox game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
In their weekend series, the Red Sox took on the San Diego Padres. Boston lost the first two installments of that set before a 4-1 win on Sunday. The Sox took out the Marlins 8-3 in their opener, then on Wednesday Boston kept it up with a 7-2 win.
It’ll be Nick Pivetta in the starting pitcher role for the Red Sox in game three. This year Pivetta is 4-5 with a 4.52 ERA in 12 starts. Pivetta is 54-64 with a 4.84 ERA in 208 career games (164 starts).
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they split a four-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. Miami managed wins 7-4 in the opener and 3-2 on Saturday. In game two versus the Red Sox, the Marlins were out-hit 12-9.
Kyle Tyler will toe the rubber in the starter role for the Marlins on Thursday. This season so far in three games (two starts), Tyler is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA. Over his career Tyler is 1-1 with a 2.67 ERA in 10 games (two starts).
Red Sox vs Marlins Pick Injury Notes
Red Sox RP Liam Hendriks (elbow) was set to throw a bullpen session Wednesday.
Marlins SP Ryan Weathers (finger) will be re-evaluated in one to two weeks. SP Sixto Sanchez (shoulder) threw a bullpen session over the weekend.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last four home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as road favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against the Red Sox.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last three home games against AL East opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four road games against the Marlins.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against the Marlins.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Marlins. Since his return, Tyler has pitched reasonably well in his 8.2 innings, notching three earned on seven hits and five walks. Tyler is just 0-1 in that pair, though. As for Pivetta, he’s given up eight earned runs over his last two starts in 8.1 innings total.
On Wednesday the Marlins coughed up four runs in the ninth inning and ruined any chance of a comeback. Miami needs to get a solid performance on the mound in addition to a handful of runs in the finale.