Miami Marlins (30-53) vs Boston Red Sox (43-39)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +149 / Boston Red Sox -179 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the Miami Marlins meet Tuesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
• The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Red Sox
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Red Sox game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Boston played the San Diego Padres over the weekend. The Sox struggled over their first two games, taking losses 9-2 Friday and 11-1 in game two. On Sunday the Red Sox powered out a 4-1 win. Josh Winckowski lasted 5.0 innings with four hits and no walks in the starting pitcher slot.
In the starter role for the Tuesday matchup Boston is sending out Kutter Crawford. This year Crawford is 3-7 with a 3.59 ERA in 16 starts. In his career, Crawford is 12-22 with a 4.39 ERA in 69 games (52 starts).
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re coming off a series against the Philadelphia Phillies. Miami lost 2-0 Friday but otherwise took wins 7-4 Thursday and 3-2 in game three. In the Sunday finale, the Marlins took a tough loss 7-6. Yonny Chirinos posted 4.1 innings with three earned runs in the starting role.
As a starter for the Tuesday matchup, the Marlins will send out Valente Bellozo. After the first start of his MLB career Bellozo came away with 5.0 innings, no earned and two Ks.
Red Sox vs Marlins Pick Injury Notes
Red Sox RP Liam Hendricks (elbow) threw another bullpen session Friday. SP Bryan Mata (shoulder) will get another rehab start Tuesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Marlins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Red Sox’s last four road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in 21 of his last 22 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five home games.
- Tim Anderson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has scored a run in four of the Marlins’ last five games at LoanDepot Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Story has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded a Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five road games against the Marlins.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three night games.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Red Sox. Crawford is going to need some help from the pen and the bats, though. In his last three starts, Crawford has been decent with eight earned combined over 18.1 innings on 14 hits and four walks. He’s just 1-2 in that time, however.
In their last outing Sunday the Red Sox had a pretty great pitching performance across five different arms. Boston got home runs from Rafael Devers (two RBI) and Jarren Duran on offense. The Sox do have just two or fewer runs in two of the last three games though, so it’d be nice to see a bigger total here.