Detroit Tigers (68-67) vs Boston Red Sox (69-64)
Game Info: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 6:10 pm (Comerica Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -141 / Boston Red Sox +119 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers meet Saturday in MLB action from Comerica Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Tigers pick. We will examine:
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Red Sox and Tigers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Red Sox vs Tigers game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox played the Toronto Blue Jays in their last set. Boston managed to split those four games 2-2. On Friday in the opener versus the Tigers, the Red Sox powered out a 7-5 win in 10 innings. Tanner Houck posted 6.0 clean frames as a starter.
The starter for Saturday will be Boston’s Nick Pivetta. This year in 21 games (20 starts) Pivetta is 5-9 with a 4.61 ERA. Over 217 career games (172 starts) Pivetta is 55-68 with a 4.83 ERA.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
Over on the Tigers’ side, they took on the Los Angeles Angels in their last set. Detroit won the first pair before a 3-0 Thursday defeat. On Friday the Tigers mounted a valiant comeback late but ultimately fell short. Casey Mize left after 6.0 innings and four earned runs.
It’ll be Tarik Skubal in the starter role for the Tigers on Saturday. This season Skubal is 15-4 with a 2.58 ERA in 26 starts. Skubal is 38-31 with a 3.49 ERA in 101 career games (98 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Red Sox and Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight Saturday night games against AL East opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Comerica Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
- Riley Greene has scored a run in each of the Tigers’ last five games against the Red Sox.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five Saturday appearances.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four road games.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games against AL opponents.
- Triston Casas has recorded a Single in five of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
I’m leaning toward the Tigers. Skubal does need a bit of a bounce-back start, though. In the White Sox game, he gave up three earned on eight hits in 5.0 innings but still got the win. In the two starts prior Skubal went 1-0 with just two earned in 12.0 frames. As for Pivetta, he’s coming off five earned in 5.0 innings versus the Astros.
On Saturday the Tigers mounted a nice comeback from a 4-0 deficit, bagging three runs in the eighth inning alone. The hole was too deep to dig out of though, and the pen faltered down the stretch. Still, I think Detroit has a good shot to bounce back Saturday.