Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 6/21/24

In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 21st at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
• The Reds recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston 
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
• Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Cincinnati
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Cincinnati 

Red Sox Aim for Sixth Straight Win 

The Boston Red Sox are 40-35 this year and they have won five games in a row. Boston is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won all three games by scores of 7-3, 4-3, and 7-3. Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Yankees, won two out of three against the Phillies, and split four games with the White Sox. Boston is 7-1 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL East standings. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 350 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .278 with 14 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least seven runs in four of their last five games. 

Reds are Back to Struggling 

The Cincinnati Reds are 35-39 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss against Pittsburgh, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Brewers, split two games with the Guardians, and won three out of four against the Cubs. Cincinnati is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are at the bottom of the NL Central standings. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 309 runs with a .225 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Jeimer Candelario is batting .251 with 12 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 3-6 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched this year. Crawford has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 5-6 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this season. Abbott has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four outings, but did allow one earned run against the Cubs two starts ago. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Red Sox have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last five games.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Reds’ last 11 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Red Sox and Reds.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jeimer Candelario has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 night games.
• TJ Friedl has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 appearances against AL opponents.
• TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games against the Reds.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 13 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Boston comes into this series red hot and they are now five games above .500. The Red Sox have played very well over the last two weeks and they are 22-15 on the road. Cincinnati is 18-19 at home this year and they have dropped back into a slump. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has been decent this season, but hasn’t been great. The Red Sox are going with Crawford, who has not pitched very well in his last few starts. Boston is one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now, so I am going to hop on the bandwagon here. My Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for Boston to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox ML