Baltimore Orioles (72-50) vs Boston Red Sox (63-57)
Game Info: Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -149 / Boston Red Sox +126 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Orioles vs Red Sox pick. We will examine:
The Baltimore Orioles recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Orioles and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Orioles vs Red Sox game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
This week the Red Sox played the Texas Rangers. Boston won the first two games in that set 5-4 and 9-4 before a 9-7 loss in the finale. After splitting the first two matchups versus the Orioles, on Saturday Boston rolled to a 5-1 win. Brayan Bello put up 6.0 innings and one earned run in the start.
In the starter role for the Sunday finale the Red Sox will send out Kutter Crawford. So far Crawford is 8-9 with a 4.21 ERA in 24 starts. Crawford is 17-24 with a 4.53 ERA in 77 career games (60 starts).
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Over on the Orioles’ side, they played a pair versus the Washington Nationals this week. Baltimore lost Tuesday 9-3 but then won 4-1 on Wednesday. The O’s won 5-1 Thursday then took a wild 12-10 loss in game two against Boston. On Saturday Baltimore was out-hit 10-5. Starter Cade Povich managed 6.1 innings with two earned runs.
As starter for the finale the O’s will go with Albert Suarez. This year Suarez is 5-4 with a 3.39 ERA in 24 games (16 starts). In 64 career games (28 starts) Suarez is 8-12 with a 4.02 ERA.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last five day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Red Sox’s last 16 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites against the Red Sox.
- Anthony Santander has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last four day games.
- Colton Cowser has scored at least one run in each of his nine previous Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last seven day games.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as home favorites.
- Gunnar Henderson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last eight Sunday day appearances.
- Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.592) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (626).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1099).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.262).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’ll go with the Orioles here. At least some of that is due to Crawford’s recent struggles. In his last three starts, Crawford is 2-1, but hasn’t been pitching that well. Combined over that trio he’s got 15 earned runs in 14.1 innings of work.
On Saturday the O’s had things tied up heading into the seventh inning. Baltimore fell apart from there in a rough offensive effort. Baltimore should have some chances at the plate Sunday, though.