Baltimore Orioles (70-50) vs Boston Red Sox (63-55)
Game Info: Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 7:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -127 / Boston Red Sox +107 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Orioles vs Red Sox pick. We will examine:
The Baltimore Orioles recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Orioles and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Orioles vs Red Sox game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
This week the Red Sox took on the Texas Rangers. Boston won the first two installments of that set 5-4 and 9-4 before a 9-7 loss on Wednesday. The Sox took another loss 5-1 to the O’s on Friday, then in game two Boston won a wild game 12-10. Cooper Criswell gave up a hefty six earned runs in his 3.1 innings.
Starter for Saturday will be Brayan Bello. This year Bello is 10-5 with a 4.97 ERA in 22 starts. Bello is 24-24 with a 4.58 ERA in 63 games (61 starts).
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Over on the Orioles’ side, they played a pair of games versus the Washington Nationals this week. Baltimore lost 9-3 Tuesday before a 4-1 Wednesday win. In the Friday game two, the Orioles out-hit the Red Sox 17-14. Corbin Burnes had a rough night on 4.0 innings, 10 hits, three walks and eight earned.
Albert Suarez will take the mound for the start on Saturday. This year Suarez is 5-4 with a 3.39 ERA in 24 games (16 starts). Suarez is 8-12 with a 4.02 ERA in 64 career games (28 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Sixteen of the Orioles’ last 21 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Orioles’ last five home games.
- Cedric Mullins has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Colton Cowser has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- James McCann has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Orioles as home favorites.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games as home favorites.
- Gunnar Henderson ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Triston Casas has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.588) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (625).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1094).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.262).
- The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’ll lean toward the O’s. We should have a fun pitching matchup if both guys are on, though. Suarez has zero earned runs on six hits and three walks in 11.2 innings over his last two starts. As for Bello, he’s coming off one earned on four hits and three walks over 6.0 innings versus the Rangers.
On Friday the Orioles had a great night at the plate—and an equally terrible night on the mound. Outside of Keegan Akin and Bryan Baker the pitching was pretty horrible. As for the bats, Ramon Urias was the headliner with his five RBI. Saturday’s matchup should be a lot less exciting on the scoreboard, and I think the O’s have a good shot.