Toronto (62-42) vs Detroit (60-45)
July 26, 2025 at 06:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 26th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 62-42 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 11-4 and 6-2. In their game two win, Toronto trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored the next six runs to pull away with the victory. The Blue Jays recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Bichette, who went 1-5 with two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Fisher, Little, and Rodriguez closed out the game.
Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Yankees and all three against the Giants. Toronto has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 491 runs with a .262 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. George Springer has led Toronto with 17 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 13 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 7-7 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this year.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 60-45 this season after they dropped another game on Friday night by a score of 6-2. Detroit jumped out to a 1-0 lead, but they only scored once over the last seven innings in the loss. The Tigers recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Dingler and Torkelson, who both had one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Montero, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Hurter threw two scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to this series, the Tigers lost all three games against the Pirates and two out of three against the Rangers. Detroit has lost 11 of their last 12 games, but they are still first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 497 runs with a .248 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 25 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 23 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 10-3 with a 2.19 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP over 127.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Tigers
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last 12 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Tigers’ last six home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Tarik Skubal has recorded 10+ strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three home games against the Blue Jays.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Double in five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against the Tigers.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Tigers at Comerica Park.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction
These two teams come into this matchup trending in opposite directions, as Toronto is looking like one of the top teams in the MLB right now. The Blue Jays are 25-25 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 32-20 at home. Detroit is desperately trying to break out of this funk and they are starting Skubal, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. Toronto is going with Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. I know Skubal is one of the best in the MLB, but we are getting a great price on Toronto against a Detroit team that is in a bad place right now. Take the Jays here.