Toronto (60-42) vs Detroit (60-43)
July 24, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 24th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 60-42 this season after they won two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 4-1, 4-5, and 8-4. In their game three win, Toronto blew a 4-2 lead in the sixth, but they scored the last four runs in the game to steal the victory. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Guerrero and Bichette, who both had two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Bassitt, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 7.1 innings for the win, while Rodriguez pitched a scoreless ninth.
Prior to that series, the Blue Jays swept the Giants in three games, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that. Toronto has won five of its last six games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 474 runs with a .261 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. George Springer has led Toronto with 17 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 13 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Eric Lauer, who is 5-2 with a 2.80 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 61.0 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 60-43 this year after they were swept by the Pirates in three games by scores of 0-3, 5-8, and 1-6. In their game three loss, Detroit fell behind in the first inning, and their offense never woke up in the blowout loss. The Tigers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Vierling, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Melton, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Lee pitched two scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Mariners. Detroit has lost nine of its last ten games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 491 runs with a .248 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 25 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 21 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 4-3 with a 2.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 63.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tigers will beat the Blue Jays
The Tigers have won eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
The Blue Jays have lost each of their last three games at Comerica Park.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against American League opponents.
The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Tigers
The Blue Jays have won each of their last 10 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games following a loss.
The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Tigers’ last four home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the last 14 night games between the Blue Jays and Tigers.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against American League opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
Riley Greene ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
George Springer has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Eric Lauer has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents.
Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Eric Lauer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.391) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Tigers are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
The Tigers rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (904).
The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
The Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (898).
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit comes into this series continuing to struggle, as they watch their huge lead in the AL Central begin to disappear. The Tigers are 32-18 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 23-25 on the road. Toronto will look to keep Detroit down, but they are going against Olson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Toronto is starting Lauer, who has allowed two earned runs in three straight starts. This Tigers offense is not hitting the ball right now, and with this pitching matchup, I like the under here.