Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 07/29/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-44 this season after they lost game one by a score of 11-4 on Monday night. Toronto cut the deficit to 6-4 in the fourth inning, but went scoreless over the last five innings for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Guerrero Jr., who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Toronto started Bassitt, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 2.1 innings for the loss, while Little allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won three out of four against Detroit and two out of three against the Yankees. Toronto has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 505 runs with a .264 batting average and a .334 on base percentage this season. George Springer has led Toronto with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 13 home runs and 65 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto in game one is TBD, but Eric Lauer is expected to start game two. Lauer is 6-2 with a 2.61 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 48-58 this year after they won game one in blowout fashion on Monday night. Baltimore blew a 3-0 lead in the third inning, but they scored eight of the last nine runs in the game for the win. The Orioles recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Laureano, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Eflin, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Martin picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Rockies, but lost three out of four against the Guardians before that. Baltimore has won four of their last five games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 455 runs with a .242 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 15 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 14 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore in game one is Charlie Morton, who is 6-8 with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is TBD. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Blue Jays

• The Orioles have won four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents.

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Blue Jays have won 11 of their last 14 road games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against American League opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the last 13 day games between the Blue Jays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore was able to run away with the win in game one of this series and they will look to stay hot in this doubleheader. The Orioles are 25-26 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 26-27 on the road. Toronto has allowed 21 runs in their last two games, but they still hold a nice lead in the division. It is tough to get a read on these games without knowing the starting pitching matchups, but I think Morton has been much improved and I like the O’s in game one. In game two, Lauer has been very good in recent outings and I like the Jays to win by at least two runs.