Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction 8/4/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 4th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 53-60 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-1 on Monday. Toronto scored one run in the second inning and two in the fourth, which was enough to get the low scoring win. The Blue Jays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Kirk, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Bieber allowed nine hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Rogers picked up the save. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 442 runs with a .243 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 5-5 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 91.2 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 58-56 this year after they lost game one by a score of 1-3 last night. Houston cut the deficit to 3-1 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Astros recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Pena, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Javier allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Imai threw the last three innings. Prior to this series, Houston swept the Rangers in three games and swept the Angels in three games. 

This season, Houston has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 529 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 35 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 22 home runs and 64 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hayden Wesneski, who is 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 5.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last six home games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four road games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Astros have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the Blue Jays and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as underdogs against the Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine home games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL opponents.
• Hayden Wesneski has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Trey Yesavage has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Blue Jays as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction 

Houston had their winning streak snapped on Monday night, as their offense went cold, but they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Astros are 29-28 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 25-29 on the road. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of those five. The Jays are starting Yesavage, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Wesneski allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings in his first start against the Angels. I know the Blue Jays don’t hit very well, but I like the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5