Toronto (63-46) vs Baltimore (50-58)
July 30, 2025 at 12:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore -105 — Over/Under: +10
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Jose Berrios here and Berrios is 7-4 with a 3.83 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Berrios is 0-2 with a 5.90 ERA and 21 strikeouts. Dean Kremer will get the nod for the Orioles here and is 8-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, Kremer is 3-1 with a 4.33 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to rebound after being swept in Tuesday’s doubleheader following a 16-4 loss in game one and a 3-2 loss in game two to slip to 63-46 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Kansas City Royals.
Blue Jays Drop Four In A Row
George Springer has 100 hits and Bo Bichette has 131 hits with Springer adding 18 home runs, a triple, 18 doubles and 57 RBIs while Bichette has 32 doubles, 13 home runs and 65 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 46 hits with 7 doubles and 5 home runs and 23 RBIs this season along with 10 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 15 homers, 23 doubles and 56 RBIs while Springer also has a .291 batting average and 76 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 25 doubles with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 20 doubles as part of his 102 hits this season.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Jose Berrios has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 19 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Orioles.
- Bo Bichette ranks 1st in the league in Hits (131) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles will try to add on to their win over the Jays from Tuesday’s matchup to improve to 50-58 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Orioles Win Five In A Row
Cedric Mullins has 70 hits so far this season as well as 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 49 RBIs with 14 stolen bases and a .226 batting average while Adley Rutschman has 59 hits with 12 doubles, 8 homers and 23 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 103 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 14 homers and 43 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers and 15 RBIs and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 101 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn’s also chipped in 87 hits with 15 doubles and 12 home runs with 41 RBIs and Heston Kjerstad’s added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight Wednesday day games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have won each of their last five games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
- Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites.
- Dean Kremer has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Orioles as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’m on the Blue Jays here. I get that the Orioles have been dominant in this series, but it’s just hard for me to see the Blue Jays getting swept with how well they were playing coming into this series and I’m still not the biggest fan of Dean Kremer if we’re being honest. I think the Blue Jays salvage something here and pull off the win on Wednesday. Give me the Blue Jays.