| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 58-63 | 74-46 |
| Spread | +1.5 -181 | -1.5 149 |
| Moneyline | +147 | -158 |
| Total | Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida | |
| When | Friday, August 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 58-63 on the year and play the Yankees and Rays next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .235 on the season, with a .320 OBP and a .395 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the Baltimore Orioles with 117 hits and 77 RBI, while Leody Taveras and Gunnar Henderson have combined for 176 hits and 92 RBI.
Kyle Bradish gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 7-11 with a 3.69 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. Bradish is 2-4 with a 5.10 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 74-46 on the year and play the Orioles and Blue Jays next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .261 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and have a .408 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 137 hits and 69 RBI, while Chandler Simpson and Junior Caminero have combined for 255 hits and 102 RBI.
Steven Matz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 5-4 with a 5.46 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Matz is 3-3 with a 4.79 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last nine games.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last four games at Tropicana Field.
- The Rays have covered the run line each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games at Tropicana Field.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the last 10 games between the Orioles and Rays.
- The Rays have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in 15 of the Rays’ last 16 games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at Tropicana Field following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last five night games between the Orioles and Rays at Tropicana Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last five night games against AL East opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Liam Hicks has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rays as home favorites against the Orioles.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (33) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Coby Mayo has recorded a hit in each of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (305).
- The Rays are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
- The Orioles rank 26th in the league for hits this season (944).
- The Orioles rank 26th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.253).
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
I’m not excited to get behind Matz and a 5.46 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, but the Rays continue to find ways to win, and the Orioles stink. The O’s have struggled the most on the road, and the Rays have been nearly unbeatable at home this season. The Rays have almost as many wins at home as the Athletics have overall this season. Forget the pitching matchup; give me the team that keeps cashing tickets. Give me the Rays.