Baltimore (43-52) vs Tampa Bay (50-47)
July 18, 2025 at 07:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay +1.5 — Over/Under: +9
The Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays meet Friday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 43-52 on the year and play the Guardians, Rockies, and Blue Jays next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .398 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.92 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 94 hits and 31 RBI, while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 168 hits and 72 RBI.
Charlie Morton gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. Morton is 5-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 66 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 50-47 on the year and play the White Sox, Reds, and Yankees next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .258 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .405 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 105 hits and 53 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 192 hits and 109 RBI.
Taj Bradley gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Bradley is 1-3 with an 8.65 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
The home team has won six of the Rays’ last seven games.
The Orioles have lost each of their last four road games following a home loss.
The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Rays have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Jonathan Aranda ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Colton Cowser has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games against the Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Charlie Morton has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Rays are the better team so they should get the benefit of the doubt at home, but Bradley has been hittable this season, especially at home where he has a 5.55 ERA and .266 allowed batting average. Morton is 41 years old and has been hit hard at times, but he’s allowed 37 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 36.1 innings. Morton had a brutal start to the season, but he’s been a different pitcher since May. You can argue the Orioles have the edge on the mound. I’ll take a shot with the road team on Friday.