Baltimore (43-53) vs Tampa Bay (51-47)
July 19, 2025 at 07:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay +1.5 — Over/Under: +9
In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 19, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles (43-53, 21-28 Away) secured back-to-back series wins against the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets, but concluded the first half of the season with a loss to the Miami Marlins. The Orioles were destroyed in Game 1 of the current series against the Rays, losing 11-1. Ramon Laureano drove in the lone run for the Rays, while Charlie Morton took the loss after allowing seven runs on eight hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 5.1 innings.
This year, the Orioles average 4.10 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .238/.304/.396 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.99 ERA (27th) and 1.41 WHIP (27th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .215 batting average, 13 home runs, and 41 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Orioles is Dean Kremer, who is 8-7 in 18 starts this season, with a 4.24 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 108.1 innings.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (51-47, 29-25 Home) are on a five-series losing run after defeats to the Orioles, Athletics, Twins, Tigers, and Red Sox. However, the All-Star break came at the right time for the Rays as they dismantled the Orioles in the opening game of this season, beating them 11-1 on Friday. Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero led the offense with four RBI apiece, while Taj Bradley got the win after allowing no runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work.
This season, the Rays average 4.69 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .259/.321/.409 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (10th) and 1.20 WHIP (3rd). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .257 batting average, 25 home runs, and 64 RBI this season.
Zack Littell will take the mound for the Rays on Saturday. The 29-year-old right-hander has an 8-7 record in 19 starts this year with a 3.56 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 116.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
Six of the Rays’ last seven games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Orioles’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five night games between the Orioles and Rays.
Matchup/League Facts
The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).
The Rays are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for walks this season (266).
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (890).
Orioles vs Rays Prediction
The Rays won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, while this season, the series is tied at 4-4. These two starters already faced the opposing teams twice this season, and given the results in those games, I am going with Under here. Dean Kremer allowed just one run in 12.0 innings against Tampa Bay this year, while Zack Littell surrendered four runs in 13.0 innings against the Orioles. Both pitchers have shown some good form recently and are not allowing a large number of runs, so I am going with the Under.