Seattle Mariners (47-39) vs Baltimore Orioles (53-31)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 9:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -104 / Baltimore Orioles -112 — Over/Under: 7
In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 2nd at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Orioles recent form and recent player performance
- The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
- Recent betting trends in games played between Baltimore and Seattle
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Baltimore and Seattle
Orioles are Tied with the Yankees
The Baltimore Orioles are 53-31 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Guardians, lost all three against the Astros, and won two out of three against the Yankees. Baltimore is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are tied with the Yankees for first in the AL East.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 438 runs with a .255 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .288 with 26 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has scored at least four runs in four of their last six games.
Mariners Need to Find Improvement
The Seattle Mariners are 47-39 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against Minnesota, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Rays, lost two out of three against the Marlins, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Seattle is just 3-8 in their last 11 games, but they continue to lead the AL West.
The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 332 runs with a .218 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .202 with 14 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Grayson Rodriguez, who is 9-3 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 82.1 innings pitched this season. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 7-5 with a 3.35 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 99.1 innings pitched this year. Kirby has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts.
Why the Orioles will beat the Mariners
- The favorites have won each of the Mariners’ last six games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at T-Mobile Park following a loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Orioles’ last five road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last three home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Dylan Moore has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against the Orioles.
- Dylan Moore has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five Tuesday appearances with the Mariners as underdogs.
- Josh Rojas has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances.
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at T-Mobile Park.
- Mitch Garver has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games against the Mariners.
Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup after a nice series win against Texas over the weekend and they have caught the Yankees in the race for the AL East. The Orioles are 24-14 on the road, while the Mariners are 28-14 at home. Seattle has been very good at picking up wins at home this season, but their offense is very low scoring. The Mariners are starting George Kirby, who has been great this season, but is going up against the best scoring lineup in baseball. The Orioles are going with Grayson Rodriguez, who has also been very good and is already at nine wins. This should be a very entertaining series, but I don’t trust the Seattle offense to keep pace with Baltimore. My Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for the Orioles to win.