| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 34-39 | 37-36 |
| Spread | +1.5 -171 | -1.5 141 |
| Moneyline | +129 | -156 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-106) | Under 7.5 (-113) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 37-36 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 19-16 home record and are coming off a 1-10 road defeat against the Nationals. They will face the Red Sox and the Pirates next.
The Mariners have a .237 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Luke Raley leads the team in RBI with 35, adding a team-high 14 home runs.
Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 4-4 record, 3.62 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 34-39 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 12-20 road record and are coming off a 2-5 home defeat against the Padres. They will face the Dodgers and the Angels next.
The Orioles have a .243 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .258 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 48, adding a team-high 16 home runs.
Brandon Young (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 5-1 record, 3.04 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: June 16, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: 4-4 ERA: 3.62
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Orioles: 1-1
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have won each of their last six Tuesday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six night games following a road loss.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in seven of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home night games.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Young Record this season: 5-1 ERA: 3.04
- Road Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Mariners: 1-0
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Orioles following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last eight games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Mariners’ last 16 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six road games against AL West opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 16 home games against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games against the Mariners.
- Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction
The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Mariners and have won their last three visits in Seattle.
In this Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -145 home favorites. Both pitchers in this matchup have been very good, but Gilbert is more experienced, playing at home and in excellent form, with one earned run or less in three of his last four starts. The Mariners are 7th against right-handed pitching in the last 10 days and have the 7th-best bullpen in baseball, so I expect them to get the job done today at home.