Baltimore Orioles vs Oakland Athletics Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Oakland Athletics (33-56) vs Baltimore Orioles (55-32)

Game Info: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum)

The Line: Betting Odds: Oakland Athletics +155 / Baltimore Orioles -185 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Oakland Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 5th at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

The Orioles recent form and recent player performance
The Athletics recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Oakland
Recent betting trends in games played between Baltimore and Oakland
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Baltimore and Oakland

Orioles are Leading the East

The Baltimore Orioles are 55-32 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Orioles won three out of four against the Rangers, lost two out of three against the Guardians, and lost all three against the Astros. Baltimore is 6-7 in their last 13 games, but they are leading the AL East over the Yankees.

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 447 runs with a .254 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .289 with 27 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed two runs or fewer in five of their last eight games.

Athletics Going for Four Straight Wins

The Oakland Athletics are 33-56 this year and they have won three games in a row. Oakland is coming off of a series win against the Angels, where they won all three games by scores of 7-5, 5-0, and 5-0. Prior to that series, the Athletics lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, lost all three against the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Oakland is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL West.

The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 323 runs with a .221 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .273 with 17 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored five runs or more in three straight games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Albert Suarez, who is 4-2 with a 2.43 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 59.1 innings pitched this year. Suarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Hogan Harris, who is 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this season. Harris has allowed three earned runs in each of his last two starts.

Why the Orioles will beat the Athletics

The Athletics have lost seven of their last eight games at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Orioles have won each of their last five games against the Athletics following a loss.
The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Athletics.
The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against the Orioles following a win.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Athletics’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last five games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four games against American League opponents.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

Brent Rooker has scored a run in each of the Athletics’ last four night games.
Brent Rooker has hit a home run in three of the Athletics’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Friday appearances at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
Ryan Noda has recorded a Single in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
Brent Rooker has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Friday appearances at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
Brent Rooker has recorded an RBI in four of the Athletics’ last five games against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Orioles’ last seven games against the Athletics.
Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games as favorites against the Athletics.
Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Friday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
Austin Hays has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
Gunnar Henderson has hit at least one home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as road favorites.
Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.