| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-18 | 22-11 |
| Spread | +1.5 -108 | -1.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +189 | -232 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (100) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Sunday, May 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-18 on the year and play the Marlins and Athletics next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .230 on the season and have a .317 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 36 hits and 12 RBI while Gunnar Henderson and Jeremiah Jackson have combined for 56 hits and 43 RBI.
Trey Gibson will make his major league debut tonight. Gibson was 11-19 with a 3.99 ERA and 311 strikeouts in his minor league career. In AAA this season, Gibson was 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 22-11 on the year and play the Rangers and Brewers next. The New York Yankees are batting .235 on the season and have a .332 OBP, and a .439 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.01 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 35 hits and 26 RBI while Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger have combined for 62 hits and 41 RBI.
Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have won each of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 18 of their last 23 road games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 22 of their last 29 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six day games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the last 13 games between the Orioles and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Orioles and Yankees.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Yankee Stadium.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.447) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games as underdogs.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against the Yankees.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (151).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (92).
- The Orioles rank T27th in the league for runs allowed this season (173).
- The Orioles rank 26th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction
Gibson is a top-five prospect in the Orioles’ farm system and has swing-and-miss stuff so it will be fun to watch. However, I usually shy away from guys making their major league debut, as I need a sample size. Also, we continue to back the Yankees against the Orioles and it’s paying off. The Yankees are the Orioles’ daddy and have been for years. Fried is also on the other side and he’s been all right this season. Thick price but the Yankees own the O’s. Give me the Yanks and the RL for max betting value.