| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-16 | 20-11 |
| Spread | +1.5 -143 | -1.5 119 |
| Moneyline | +144 | -175 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-118) | Under 8.5 (-102) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Friday, May 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-16 on the year and play the Marlins and Athletics next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .237 on the season and have a .323 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 35 hits and 11 RBI while Gunnar Henderson and Jeremiah Jackson have combined for 55 hits and 43 RBI.
The Baltimore Orioles didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 20-11 on the year and play the Rangers and Brewers next. The New York Yankees are batting .229 on the season and have a .324 OBP, and a .424 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.11 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 32 hits and 23 RBI while Aaron Judge and Jose Caballero have combined for 56 hits and 31 RBI.
Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 3-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Warren is 1-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost 13 of their last 14 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Orioles following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Orioles have won each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Orioles and Yankees.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Caballero ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (12) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
- Gunnar Henderson ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (85).
- The Yankees rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (26).
- The Orioles rank 25th in the league for steals this season (15).
- The Orioles rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (284).
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction
It doesn’t matter who the Orioles are throwing out on the mound, as they’ve underachieved up to this point and the Yankees have a long history of bending them over their knee. Warren is also coming off a strong April where he allowed 24 hits and 8 earned runs in 27 innings while striking out 37. In 21 home innings, Warren has a 2.57 ERA and a 2.10 allowed batting average. I’m rolling with the Yankees regardless of who the Orioles throw out there.