Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Brandon Young for the start here and Young is 8-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Bailey Ober will start for the Twins here and is 7-3 with a 4.45 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles will look to rebound from a 9-5 loss at the hands of the Twins on Monday to sit at 57-62 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Orioles Lose 4 Of Last 5 

Gunnar Henderson has 101 hits with 19 doubles, 18 home runs and 47 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 112 hits with 22 doubles, 25 home runs and 75 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 53 hits with 10 doubles, 7 home runs and 39 RBIs as well on the year. Samuel Basallo has 68 hits with 9 doubles, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on their win over the Orioles from Monday to sit at 59-61 this season. After this series, the Twins will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in a series at home.

Twins Split Last 6 Games

Byron Buxton has 87 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 45 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 107 hits with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 71 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 98 hits with 16 doubles, 6 homers and 34 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 102 hits with 18 doubles, 3 triples, 17 home runs and 61 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 37 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 89 hits with 20 doubles, 5 triples, 20 home runs and 55 RBIs this season.

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: August 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober      Record this season: 7-3      ERA: 4.45
• Home Record: 5-0
• Last 5 against Orioles: 0-1

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last 12 games at Target Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Target Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Orioles.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Young      Record this season: 8-3      ERA: 3.43
• Road Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Twins: –

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have lost 11 of their last 16 games as home favorites following a home win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Twins’ last 13 games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games at Target Field following a win.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Twins’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Twins’ last nine home games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of Brandon Young’s last seven road appearances as a starter.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Tuesday appearances in night games at Target Field.
• Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 12 games against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Brandon Young has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Twins.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.59).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (593).
• The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (460).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1094).

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m on the Twins in this one. The Orioles have been hit or miss as of late and while Brandon Young has been an ATM on the mound for the Orioles for much of the season, he’s been shaky in his last couple of starts and the Orioles could pay for it here in all honesty. The Twins are still a solid team and Bailey Ober has been in a solid run of form as of late and I look for the Twins to get the job done in this game. Give me the Twins here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Minnesota -115