Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 8/1/24

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 1st at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Orioles recent form and recent player performance 
• The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
• Recent betting trends in games played between Baltimore and Cleveland
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Baltimore and Cleveland

Orioles Offense is Heating Back Up 

The Baltimore Orioles are 65-44 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Marlins, and won two out of three against the Rangers. Baltimore is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they continue to hold a slim lead in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 553 runs with a .255 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .285 with 28 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has scored at least six runs in four of their last five games. 

Guardians are Going for Fourth Straight Win

The Cleveland Guardians are 65-42 this season and they have won three games in a row. Cleveland is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won both games by scores of 8-4 and 5-0. Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Phillies, split four games with the Tigers, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Cleveland is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are leading the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 491 runs with a .241 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .275 with 27 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this year. Kremer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five games. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Ben Lively, who is 9-6 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 99.1 innings pitched this year. Lively has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Orioles

• The Guardians have won each of their last six Thursday games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games against the Guardians following a home win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last three games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians’ last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in six of the Guardians’ last seven games against the Orioles at Progressive Field.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Guardians’ last 10 night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games against AL opponents.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games against AL opponents.
• Jordan Westburg has scored a run in seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games against the Guardians.
• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six night games.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup leading each of their divisions and their records are almost identical so far this year. Cleveland is 33-15 at home, while Baltimore is 31-19 on the road. Baltimore is starting to play much better than they had over the past few weeks, but Cleveland is also playing at a very high level. The Guardians have had some offensive issues in the last few weeks, but they are still 6-2 in their last eight. Both of these starting pitchers have been solid this year, but the Guardians have done a great job of picking up wins in Lively’s outings at home. My Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Guardians to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Guardians ML