| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 29-32 | 25-34 |
| Spread | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 135 |
| Moneyline | +123 | -149 |
| Total | Over 9 (-105) | Under 9 (-114) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Wednesday, June 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 25-34 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 9-20 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home defeat against the Orioles. They will face the Yankees and the Rays next.
The Red Sox have a .246 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 33 and adding a team-high 11 home runs.
Payton Tolle (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 2-2 record, 2.61 ERA and 0.90 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 29-32 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 10-17 road record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Red Sox. They will face the Blue Jays and the Mariners next.
The Orioles have a .239 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .243 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 38, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Chris Bassitt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 4-3 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.58 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: June 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Payton Tolle Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 2.61
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Orioles: –
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Orioles have lost 13 of their last 14 road games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have won five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a loss.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 5.06
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 0-3
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last six games at Fenway Park.
- The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 13 games.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Fenway Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six games as underdogs against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Orioles’ last six road games against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last seven night games.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances against the Orioles.
- Jarren Duran is one of only five players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two road games.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 14 games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (44).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (223).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.259).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (542).
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Orioles but have lost all of their last three meetings in Boston.
In this Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -150 home favorites. The Red Sox have the pitching edge as Payton Tolle with his sub-1.00 WHIP goes up against Chris Bassitt with his 1.50+ WHIP. Bassitt has been terrible on the road and the Orioles have been weaker against lefties. On top of that, the Red Sox have the 4th-best bullpen in baseball so I expect them to bounce back and win this one at home.