| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 54-40 | 50-44 |
| Spread | +1.5 -181 | -1.5 149 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-102) | Under 8.5 (-119) |
| Where | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri | |
| When | Sunday, July 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 54-40 on the year and play the Rangers and Padres next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 247 on the season and have a .312 OBP and a .410 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 99 hits and 53 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 195 hits and 109 RBI.
JR Ritchie gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Ritchie’s first career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 50-44 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Angels next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .243 on the season, with a .318 OBP and a .392 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 104 hits and 74 RBI, while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 188 hits and 102 RBI.
Dustin May gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 5-6 with a 4.55 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. May is 0-2 with an 8.78 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won five of their last six games against the Braves.
- The Braves have lost nine of their last 11 road games after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Cardinals have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Braves have won nine of their last 12 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Braves’ last nine road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last six Sunday games at Busch Stadium.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Cardinals’ last six day games against NL East opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Dustin May has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at Busch Stadium.
- JJ Wetherholt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jordan Walker has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Cardinals.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (726).
- The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (94).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for triples this season (7).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
We’ve seen low-scoring games between these teams, but this feels like a spot where the offense breaks out. Ritchie is a rookie who has been hit or miss, and he has a 4.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the season. May was just tagged for 5 hits and 5 runs in 0.2 innings against the Braves 10 days ago. In his last 7.1 innings, May has allowed 15 hits and 11 runs. I like both lineups to flex their muscle a bit before the break. Give me the over in this spot.