| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 54-39 | 49-44 |
| Spread | -1.5 141 | +1.5 -171 |
| Moneyline | -119 | -102 |
| Total | Over 8 (-119) | Under 8 (-101) |
| Where | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri | |
| When | Saturday, July 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 49-44 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 25-25 home record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Braves. They will face the Dbacks and the Angels next.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a .243 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .393 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI with 74, adding a team-high 22 home runs.
Matthew Liberatore (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he has a 4-6 record, 5.34 ERA and 1.53 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 54-39 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 27-21 away record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Cardinals. They will face the Rangers and the Padres next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .247 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 58, adding a team-high 25 home runs.
Reynaldo Lopez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves, and he has a 4-1 record, 3.18 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 11, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Matthew Liberatore Record this season: 4-6 ERA: 5.34
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Braves: 2-1
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Braves’ last nine games at Busch Stadium.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 3.18
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Cardinals: 2-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight road games against the Cardinals following a loss.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games following a win.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last nine home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Reynaldo Lopez’s last five road appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Nathan Church has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against the Braves.
- Matthew Liberatore has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Matthew Liberatore has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Cardinals as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jordan Walker ranks T7th in the league in Hits (103) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Mateo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Reynaldo Lopez has recorded four or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Matt Olson ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (698).
- The Cardinals rank T3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (93).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (706).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for walks this season (278).
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Braves and have won their last two meetings in Saint Louis.
In this Braves vs Cardinals, the Braves are coming as -120 road favorites. I like the Braves in a bounce-back spot, as they have the pitching edge with Reynaldo Lopez going up against Matthew Liberatore. Lopez has been in excellent form, having given up just one run in each of his last three starts, while Liberatore has been terrible this season with a 5.34 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, having given up 3+ runs in 8 of his 10 starts. The Braves have the 6th-best offense and the second-best bullpen in baseball, so I expect them to get the job done on the road in this one.