San Diego Padres (49-47) vs Atlanta Braves (51-40)
Game Info: Friday, July 12, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres +111 / Atlanta Braves -132 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Spencer Schwellenbach here and Schwellenbach is 2-4 with a 5.02 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Schwellenbach’s first career start against the Padres. Randy Vasquez will start for the Padres here and Vasquez is 2-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. In his career, Vasquez is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 5 strikeouts against Atlanta.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this series looking to rebound after having to settle for a series split with the Arizona Diamondbacks after a 1-0 loss in Thursday’s series finale. Despite the loss, the Braves have still kept an unbeaten streak going after taking down the Phillies in last weekend’s three-game set.
Braves Trying To Close Gap In NL East
Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 102 hits including 24 home runs and 75 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 24 doubles, logging 86 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 43 RBIs with a team-high 104 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 20 doubles with a pair of triples.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last four games.
- The road team has won six of the Padres’ last seven games.
- The road team has covered the run line in 15 of the last 17 games between the Braves and Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against the Braves following a home loss.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into the set looking to rebound from being swept in their two-game series with the Seattle Mariners after a 2-0 loss in Wednesday’s series finale, giving the Padres back-to-back series losses after falling flat against the Arizona Diamondbacks last weekend.
Padres Trying To Hold In NL Playoff Race
Jurickson Profar has 101 hits along with a .311 batting average and 16 doubles with 14 homers and 59 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 55 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 12 home runs and 50 RBIs but also has 77 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 71 hits with 3 triples, 12 doubles, 10 home runs, 40 RBIs and a team-high 17 stolen bases.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
Braves vs. Padres Prediction
I’m on the over here. I really don’t trust either starting option here as Schwellenbach’s been hit hard more often than not and despite recent struggles, the Padres have been hitting right-handed pitching fairly well. On the other side, the Braves have a history of getting to Randy Vasquez and have shown flashes of the offense waking up in the last series so give me the over here.