Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jun 23, 2026; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. (23) hits a solo home run during the seventh inning against the Atlanta Braves at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
Team Records
48-30
41-37
Spread
-1.5 138
+1.5 -167
Moneyline
-120
+100
Total
Over 8.5 (-104)
Under 8.5 (-115)
Where
Petco Park, San Diego, California
When
Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Time
08:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Martin Perez here and Perez is 6-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. JP Sears will make his season debut for the Padres and was 9-11 with a 5.04 ERA and 117 strikeouts last season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-6 loss at the hands of the Padres last time out to sit at 48-30 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.
Braves Lose 3 In A Row
Drake Baldwin has 59 hits with 6 doubles, 14 home runs and 39 RBIs while Matt Olson has 81 hits with 19 doubles, 20 homers and 52 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 84 hits with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 42 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 49 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs. Austin Riley has 61 hits with 12 doubles, 8 home runs and 36 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 81 hits with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 73 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 8 home runs and 43 RBIs this season.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their win over Atlanta from Tuesday to improve to 41-37 this season. After this series, the Padres will take on the Dodgers in a series at home.
Padres Win Back-To-Back Games
Jackson Merrill has 62 hits with 15 doubles, 8 home runs and 31 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 37 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 85 hits with 14 doubles and 28 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 58 hits with 4 doubles, 8 home runs and 29 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 52 hits with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 43 RBIs as well on the year.
Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: June 24, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: JP Sears Record this season: – ERA: –
Home Record: –
Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the San Diego Padres will win
The Padres have won each of their last eight home games against the Braves.
The Braves have lost each of their last seven games at Petco Park against teams that held a winning record.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez Record this season: 6-3 ERA: 2.78
Road Record: 3-1
Last 5 against Padres: 0-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
The favorites have won each of the Padres’ last six games at Petco Park.
The Padres have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following an extra innings loss.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Padres’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last 10 night games against National League opponents.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 16 of the Braves’ last 17 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against the Braves.
JP Sears has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 14 home games against NL East opponents.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (18) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Martin Perez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents.
Jorge Mateo has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL opponents.
Matt Olson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (560).
The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.220).
The Braves are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
The Braves rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.40).
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the Braves in this one. The Padres have really struggled against lefties this season and while Martin Perez isn’t an ace by any stretch, he’s pitched well for his role in this Atlanta rotation. Sears is making his season debut here and while the Braves haven’t been stellar against lefties, I think they can be good enough here to pick up the win and avoid the sweep. Give me the Braves.
