| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 48-29 | 40-37 |
| Spread | -1.5 152 | +1.5 -185 |
| Moneyline | -114 | -105 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-106) | Under 8.5 (-114) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Padres Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, June 23rd in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 40-37 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 20-19 home record and are coming off a 1-0 home win against the Braves. They will face the Dodgers and the Cubs next.
The Padres have a .219 batting average this season, .293 OBP and .363 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Manny Machado leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 14 home runs.
Griffin Canning (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 1-5 record, 6.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 48-29 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 24-15 road record and are coming off a 0-1 road defeat against the Padres. They will face the Giants and the Cardinals next.
The Braves have a .252 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .418 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 51, adding a team-high 20 home runs.
JR Ritchie (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 1-2 record, 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: June 23, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Canning Record this season: 1-5 ERA: 6.64
- Home Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven home games against the Braves.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games at Petco Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last six games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Ritchie Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 4.54
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Padres: –
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine games following a win.
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last nine night games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 16 of the Braves’ last 17 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games against the Braves.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 13 home games against NL East opponents.
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances at Petco Park.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (18) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ian Ritchie has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances against NL opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 games as favorites against the Padres.
- Jorge Mateo has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (551).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.219).
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.38).
- The Braves are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
Braves vs Padres Prediction
The Padres are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Braves, having won their last seven meetings in San Diego.
In this Braves vs Padres Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have a combined 11.18 ERA and have been in terrible form. Ritchie has given up 5 runs in each of his last two starts for the Braves, while Canning has given up at least three runs in six of his last seven starts. Atlanta has the 6th-best offense in baseball and after a low-scoring game yesterday, I expect both offenses to bounce back today. Take the over 8.