| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 52-37 | 46-45 |
| Spread | +1.5 -156 | -1.5 129 |
| Moneyline | +139 | -168 |
| Total | Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-109) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Tuesday, July 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Tuesday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 52-37 on the year and play the Cardinals next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 248 on the season and have a .314 OBP and a .413 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 95 hits and 57 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 188 hits and 102 RBI.
Hurston Waldrep gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Waldrep’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 46-45 on the year and play the Brewers next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .262 on the season and have a .340 OBP and a .422 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 99 hits and 40 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn and Bryan Reynolds have combined for 175 hits and 107 RBIs.
Paul Skenes gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 6-8 with a 3.62 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. This will be Skenes’ second career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have won each of their last six games at PNC Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games at PNC Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last four road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eleven of the Pirates’ last 13 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Braves’ last six road games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the last 16 night games between the Braves and Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last three games at PNC Park.
- Paul Skenes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Konnor Griffin has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Pirates as home favorites.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.312) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.262).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.229).
- The Braves rank 26th in the league for walks this season (268).
Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Braves continue to be in this free fall, and while I expect things to turn around eventually, I need to see progress before they get these dollars. Waldrep has just 7.1 innings under his belt, and I need a sample size to get behind. Skenes hasn’t been as dominant as he’s been in the past, but he’s still been solid with a 3.62 ERA and 1.01 WHIP through 97 frames. At home through 56.2 innings, Skenes has a 3.02 ERA and a .200 allowed batting average. Behind their ace, I’ll side with the Pirates and the reasonable price on Tuesday night.