| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 83-57 | 79-61 |
| Spread | -1.5 171 | +1.5 -210 |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-120) | Under 6.5 (100) |
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Friday, September 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 79-61 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 38-30 home record and are coming off a 0-1 road loss against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Astros and the Braves next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .243 batting average this season, .313 OBP, and .400 slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper is the Phillies’ best hitter with a .275 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 83, adding a team-high 40 home runs.
Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, with a 16-4 record, 2.52 ERA, and 1.19 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have an 83-57 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 35-33 road record and are coming off a 9-0 road win against the Nationals. They will face the Rays and the Phillies next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .249 batting average this season, .312 OBP, and .413 slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the Braves’ best hitter with a .295 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 80, adding a team-high 37 home runs.
Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, with a 13-9 record, 2.06 ERA, and 1.00 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: September 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez Record this season: 16-4 ERA: 2.52
- Home Record: 11-1
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-2
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale Record this season: 13-9 ERA: 2.06
- Road Record: 5-6
- Last 5 against Phillies: 3-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday home games against NL opponents.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two home games.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (166) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three night games.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 night games.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1374).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (407).
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
The Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Phillies and have won their last four visits in Philadelphia.
In this Braves vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -110 home favorites. This is the definition of a pitcher’s duel as Chris Sale goes up against Cristopher Sanchez, with both pitchers having a combined 4.58 ERA and 29 total wins. Sanchez has been one of the best home pitchers in baseball with a 11-1 record and 1.68 ERA and both bullpens have been in excellent shape lately, while both teams average just 6.1 runs combined against lefties in their last 10 game. Runs will come at a premium in this one, so take the under 7.