New York Yankees (51-26) vs Atlanta Braves (41-31)
Game Info: Sunday, June 23, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Yankee Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -101 / Atlanta Braves -116 — Over/Under:
The Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance
• The New York Yankees recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Yankees
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Yankees game
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
In their last series the Braves took on the Detroit Tigers. Atlanta won 2-1 in the Monday and Tuesday installments of that set, then completed the sweep with a 7-0 win in the finale. Atlanta kept it up with an 8-1 win over New York Friday. On Saturday the Braves fell behind quickly in an 8-3 loss. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton gave up five earned in 5.2 innings.
In the starter role for the Braves on Sunday it’ll be Max Fried. This year Fried is 6-3 with a 3.11 ERA in 14 starts. Over his MLB career Fried is 68-29 with a 3.04 ERA in 153 games (136 starts) total.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the Yankees’ side, they had a rough time with the rival Baltimore Orioles in their last set. New York won 4-2 in the opener but then fell 7-6 and 17-5 in the remaining pair. On Saturday the Yankees’ Marcus Stroman gave up a homer in the first inning on the way to 6.2 innings and three earned as starter.
It’ll be Nestor Cortes in the starter role for the Yankees on Sunday. This year Cortes is 4-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 86 Ks in 93.2 innings over 16 starts. Cortes is 28-16 with a 3.73 ERA in 120 games (72 starts).
Braves vs Yankees Pick Injury Notes
Braves RP AJ Minter (hip) began a rehab assignment with High-A Rome Saturday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium.
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 24 of his last 27 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.692) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against AL East opponents.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites.
- Matt Olson has recorded a Single in each of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites.
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.598) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (115).
- The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.22).
- The Atlanta Braves rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (66).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (283).
Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction
I’ll go with the Braves. We should have a fun starter matchup here, though. Fried is coming off a no-decision versus Detroit with one earned on four hits and three walks in 5.1 innings. As for Cortes, he’s got just two earned on 11 hits and two walks in 13.0 innings over his last two starts.
On Saturday the Braves got pretty much all of their production from the long ball; Marcell Ozuna and Travis d’Arnaud each homered. There wasn’t much going on at the plate beyond that, and the pitching wasn’t much better. The Braves need a big turnaround for Sunday’s finale.