New York Mets (54-48) vs Atlanta Braves (54-47)
Game Info: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -109 / Atlanta Braves -109 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 27th at Citi Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:
-The Braves recent form and recent player performance
-The Mets recent form and recent player performance
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
-Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta vs New York
-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Braves and Mets.
Braves are Struggling
The Braves are struggling, and they are coming off another bad loss on Friday. The Braves’ gout out to a 2-0 lead on Friday, but in the third inning the pitching gave up seven runs, and that led to the loss. Adam Duvall hit two home runs and drove in three RBIs. The Braves are averaging 4.19 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.71 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 2nd. They have a run differential of 0.49 which is 8th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has hit 28 home runs and driven in 80 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Braves in this game will be Spencer Schwellenbach, who sits with a 3-5 record and an ERA of 4.62. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went six innings giving up seven hits and four runs.
Why the Braves Will Beat the Mets
- The Braves have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Mets have lost 22 of their last 32 games as favorites against the Braves following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against the Braves at Citi Field following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six day games at Citi Field following a road loss.
Mets Have Turned it Around
The Mets struggled early in the season, but they have turned it around and are playing well now. On Friday, the Mets scored eight runs, and they ended up winning by four runs. J.D. Martinez hit a home run and drove in four RBIs. The Mets are averaging 4.86 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.64 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 22nd. They have a run differential of 0.25 which is 14th in the league. Francisco Lindor has hit 22 home runs and driven in 62 RBis. Getting the start for the Mets will be Tylor Megill who sits with a 2-4 record and an ERA of 5.08. In his last start against the Houston Astros, he went 5.1 innings giving up five hits and four runs.
Why the Mets Will Beat the Braves
- The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction
This is going to be one of the highers scoring games of the game. Megill sits with a 2-4 record and an ERA of 5.08, and he’s going to be blown up here. Schwellenbach gave up four runs in his last start for the Braves, and he’s also going to really struggle here. Both of these offenses are going to have no issue teeing off on the starting pitching, and that is going to be the difference here, as this game is going to be a shootout.