Atlanta (51-68) vs New York (64-55)
August 14, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 52-68 on the year and play the Guardians, White Sox, and Mets next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 120 hits and 71 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Austin Riley have combined for 218 hits and 113 RBI.
Bryce Elder gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 4-9 with a 6.12 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Elder is 2-0 with a 4.74 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 64-56 on the year and play the Mariners, Nationals, and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .241 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .412 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 122 hits and 98 RBI while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 226 hits and 130 RBI.
Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-4 with a 2.30 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. Senga is 2-0 with a 3.97 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last 10 Thursday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have won three of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Kodai Senga has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Michael Harris has recorded two hits in each of the Braves’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets should have the edge with Senga on the mound as he’s been good this season, but he’s also allowed 19 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 20.1 innings. Elder has a 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 17 hits and 15 runs in his last 15.1 innings. I’d lean toward the Braves if forced to pick, as the Mets continue this free fall. However, I’m looking at the over with the form of both pitchers. Expect some fireworks. Give me the over.