Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 6/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jun 5, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) hits a single against the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Team Records
45-23
30-38
Where
Citi Field, Queens, New York
When
Friday, June 12, 2026
Time
07:15 PM EDT
TV
Apple TV
The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Spencer Strider for the start here and Strider is 4-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Strider is 3-1 with a 6.92 ERA and 32 strikeouts. Nolan McLean will start for the Mets and is 3-4 with a 3.98 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s second career start against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss at the hands of the White Sox last time out to sit at 45-21 this season. After this series, the Braves will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.
Braves Lose Back-To-Back Games
Drake Baldwin has 57 hits with 6 doubles, 13 home runs and 38 RBIs while Matt Olson has 72 hits with 19 doubles, 19 homers and 50 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 73 hits with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 36 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 49 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs. Austin Riley has 51 hits with 10 doubles, 8 home runs and 34 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 71 hits with 9 doubles, 13 home runs and 40 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 61 hits with 13 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 37 RBIs this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 win over the St. Louis Cardinals last time out to sit at 30-38 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Mets Snap Two-Game Skid
Juan Soto has 52 hits with 5 doubles, 14 home runs and 31 RBIs. Brett Baty has 47 hits with 9 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 25 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 54 hits with 8 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 62 hits with 8 doubles, 6 home runs and 34 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 30 hits with 5 doubles and 5 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 61 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs and Mark Vientos had added 41 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs.
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 12, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean Record this season: 3-4 ERA: 3.98
Home Record: 2-3
Last 5 against Braves: 1-0
Why the New York Mets will win
The Mets have won each of their last 11 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Braves have lost each of their last three road games.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Mets following a loss.
The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five Friday games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Braves.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 4.00
Road Record: 3-1
Last 5 against Mets: 3-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
The Braves have won each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
The Mets have lost eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Eight of the Braves’ last nine night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Mets’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Spencer Strider’s last seven appearances as a starter.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Mets’ last 12 night games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Mets as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Spencer Strider has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
Spencer Strider has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Braves as underdogs.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of his last five road appearances.
Matt Olson ranks 5th in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (86).
The Mets rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
The Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.20).
The Braves rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m on the under in this game. I’m still not ready to sell stock on Spencer Strider despite Strider not necessarily being his dominant self up to this point. He’s had plenty of experience against the Mets and in this ballpark and I think that’ll serve him well here. On the flipside, McLean is still one of the better options the Mets’ rotation has and I think this could end up being a bonafide pitcher’s duel here. Give me the under.
