| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 75-54 | 80-49 |
| Spread | +1.5 -155 | -1.5 128 |
| Moneyline | +153 | -165 |
| Total | Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Saturday, August 22, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 80-49 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 44-23 home record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Braves. They will face the Mets and the Rangers next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the Brewers’ best hitter with a .280 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 75, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 22 home runs.
Logan Henderson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 7-2 record, 2.70 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 75-54 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 33-31 road record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Dodgers and the Rockies next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .246 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the Braves’ best hitter with a .293 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 77, also adding a team-high 36 home runs.
Martin Perez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has an 8-7 record, 3.15 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 22, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 7-2 ERA: 2.70
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Braves: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Saturday road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five day games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez Record this season: 8-7 ERA: 3.15
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-2
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last seven games against the Brewers following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four day games against the Braves at American Family Field following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Braves at American Family Field following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Saturday day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Braves’ last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last 10 day games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Logan Henderson’s last seven appearances as a starter.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last 10 home games.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
- Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Bauers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.383) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (119).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (375).
Braves vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Braves and have won two of their last three meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Braves vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -160 home favorites. Let’s keep this one simple. The Brewers have been in far better form, they are one of the best home teams in baseball and also have the pitching edge as Logan Henderson and his 2.70 ERA and 0.87 WHIP and going up Martin Perez, who has been weaker on the road with a 4.59 ERA. The Brewers have a 0.84 bullpen ERA in their last 5 games, while averaging 9 runs per game compared to the Braves’ two in that span. Take the Brewers to win.