Miami Marlins (56-96) vs Atlanta Braves (82-70)
Game Info: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +140 / Atlanta Braves -167 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Marlins pick. We will examine:
The Atlanta Braves’ recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Marlins game
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves played the Cincinnati Reds in their last set. Atlanta lost 6-5 in the opener, then on Wednesday powered out the win 7-1. In the finale, the Braves posted 18 team hits in a 15-3 blowout win. Chris Sale finished with 5.0 frames and two earned runs.
As a starter for Friday, the Braves are going with Charlie Morton. This year Morton is 8-8 with a 4.01 ERA in 28 starts. Over 381 career games (380 starts) Morton is 138-121 with a 4.00 ERA.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re coming off a series versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. Miami won 11-9 in the opener. In game two Miami took an 8-4 loss. On Thursday the Marlins were demolished 20-4. Starter Edward Cabrera lasted just 2.1 innings with seven earned runs.
In the starter slot for the Marlins Friday it’ll be Valente Bellozo. So far Bellozo is 2-4 with a 3.70 ERA in the first 11 starts of his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Braves’ last 13 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Braves and Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last five games at LoanDepot Park.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last six Friday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games at LoanDepot Park.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last six games as home underdogs.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight games as road favorites.
- Michael Harris has hit at least one home run in five of the Braves’ last six road games.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at LoanDepot Park.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Braves. Morton is just 1-1 in his last three games but he’s been pitching well in that time. Across that trio, Morton has four earned runs in 17.2 innings total. As for Bellozo, he’s 0-2 in his last three with four earned in 16.2 total frames.
On Thursday the Braves had four huge innings on the way to 15 runs in their victory. Matt Olson and Michael Harris combined for four homers, eight RBI, five hits, and seven runs in stellar individual outings. I like Atlanta to carry that momentum into the Friday opener.