| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 93-67 | 79-81 |
| Spread | -1.5 123 | +1.5 -149 |
| Moneyline | -131 | +109 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Saturday, September 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 79-81 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 46-33 home record and are coming off a 3-0 home win against the Braves.
The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, adding a team-high 71 RBI. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Jack Ralston (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0-2 record, 4.50 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 93-67 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 41-38 away record and are coming off a 0-3 road loss against the Marlins.
The Atlanta Braves have a .247 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 91, adding a team-high 41 home runs.
Brent Suter (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-2 record, 3.48 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Ralston Record this season: 0-2 ERA: 4.50
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Braves: –
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last six games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday road games.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Saturday road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brent Suter Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 3.48
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last six games against the Marlins following a road loss.
- The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Marlins following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five day games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against the Marlins.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Marlins.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the last seven games between the Braves and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Braves’ last six day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last eight games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Griffin Conine has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (189) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Brent Suter has recorded two or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (36).
- The Marlins rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (162).
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (12).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (459).
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
The Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Marlins and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Miami.
In this Braves vs Marlins Prediction, the Braves are coming as -130 road favorites. With their playoff position already clinched, the Braves do not look interested in winning games and were shut out yesterday. They are going for a bullpen game again today and in their last 5 games, the Marlins have both a better offense and a better bullpen ERA, as the Braves have a .181 batting average against right-handed pitching in that span. Take the Marlins to win at home for plus money in this one.