| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 61-42 | 50-54 |
| Spread | -1.5 159 | +1.5 -193 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Saturday, July 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 50-54 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 28-26 home record and are coming off a 6-7 home loss against the Braves. They will face the Tigers and the Phillies next.
The Baltimore Orioles have a .239 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .250 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 66, adding a team-high 21 home runs.
Brandon Young (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Baltimore Orioles, and he has an 8-2 record, 3.25 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 61-42 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 29-22 away record and are coming off a 7-6 road win against the Orioles. They will face the Phillies and the Nationals next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .250 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .420 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 63, adding a team-high 27 home runs.
Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves, and he has a 6-6 record, 4.06 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: July 25, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Young Record this season: 8-2 ERA: 3.25
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Braves: –
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have won each of their last five night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Braves.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder Record this season: 6-6 ERA: 4.06
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Orioles: 0-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Braves and Orioles.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last eight games as favorites.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Braves’ last seven night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games.
- Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Drake Baldwin has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
- Bryce Elder has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
- Matt Olson ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (957).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (957).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (138).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (138).
Braves vs Orioles Prediction
The Cubs have won their last three meetings against the Pirates and are 5-2 in their last 7 visits in Pittsburgh.
In this Braves vs Orioles Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -110 home favorites. I like the Orioles in a bounce back spot at home, as they will be facing a struggling Bryce Elder, who has given up 14 runs across his last three road starts and has a 2-4 record and 5.31 ERA on the road. On the flip side, Brandon Young has been excellent at home with a 3.04 ERA and the Orioles have the best bullpen ERA after the break. Take the Orioles to win in this one.