Astros vs Red Sox Prediction 08/02/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2nd at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 62-48 this year after they lost game one in extra innings by a score of 2-1 on Friday. Houston led 1-0 in the second inning, but they failed to score over the last eight innings in the loss. The Astros recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Walker, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Houston started Brown, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Sousa picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Astros won two out of three against the Nationals, but lost all four against the Athletics before that. Houston has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 474 runs with a .257 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 15 home runs and 44 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Colton Gordon, who is 4-3 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 60-51 this season after they won game one in dramatic fashion on Friday night. Boston had trouble getting much going at the plate, but they tied the game in the seventh and won in the bottom of the 10th. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Abreu and Anthony, who both had one RBI in the win. Boston started Criswell, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Weissert picked up the win in extras. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Dodgers. Boston has won five of their last six games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 547 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 20 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 17 home runs and 65 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Walker Buehler, who is 6-6 with a 5.72 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 89.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Astros

• The Red Sox have won 15 of their last 16 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have lost each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 18 games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Why the Astros will beat the Red Sox

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven games against the Astros at Fenway Park following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday day games as underdogs.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Astros’ last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last six road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Walker Buehler has recorded four or more strikeouts in 21 of his last 24 Saturday appearances with his team as a favorite.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as road underdogs.
• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Astros vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston was able to stay red hot with another win on Friday night and they will look to make it four in a row here. The Red Sox are 35-21 at home this season, while the Astros are 27-24 on the road. Houston has had some issues at the plate in their last five games, but they are facing Buehler, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five outings. Houston is starting Gordon, who has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. I know we didn’t see much scoring in game one, but I am going back to the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 9.5