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Astros vs Guardians Prediction 4/21/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Apr 11, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Parker Messick (77) throws against the Atlanta Braves in the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Apr 11, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Parker Messick (77) throws against the Atlanta Braves in the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Houston Astros Cleveland Guardians
Team Records 9-15 13-11
Spread +1.5 -168 -1.5 139
Moneyline +123 -149
Total Over 8 (-118) Under 8 (-102)
Where Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
When Tuesday, April 21, 2026
Time 06:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV
In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 21st at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 9-15 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 9-2 on Monday night. Houston blew a 2-0 lead early in the game, but they scored the last seven runs to pull away with the win. The Astros recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Correa, Walker, and Paredes, who all had two RBIs. Arrighetti allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Murray threw two scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Houston lost all three against the Cardinals, but did win two out of three against the Rockies before that. 

This season, Houston has a 5.93 ERA with a 1.62 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while they have scored 130 runs with a .260 batting average and a .350 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 10 home runs and 21 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added five home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ryan Weiss, who is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 2.05 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 13-11 this year after they lost game one by a score of 9-2 last night. Cleveland scored once in the first inning and once in the third, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Guardians recorded eight hits and they committed two errors, while they were led by Hoskins and Valera, who both had one RBI in the game. Cecconi allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Festa allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland won three out of four against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Cleveland has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 97 runs with a .227 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Brayan Rocchio has led the Guardians with three home runs and 14 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added six home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Parker Messick, who is 3-0 with a 1.05 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP over 25.2 inning pitched this year. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

Why the Houston Astros will win

Total Runs Facts

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

Astros vs Guardians Prediction 

Houston was able to get a much needed win to start this series on Monday, but they have allowed at least seven runs in three of their last four games. The Astros are 2-9 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 7-4 at home. Cleveland has won three of their last five games and they are starting Messick, who has been elite to start the season. The Astros are starting Weiss, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 15 hits over his last 8.2 innings. Take Cleveland to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Guardians ML

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