Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction 6/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 23rd at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 37-43 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-4 on Monday night. Houston tied the game at two in the sixth inning, but they allowed the last two runs for the loss. The Astros recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Altuve, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Brown allowed four hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while De Los Santos picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Houston has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 358 runs with a .242 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 25 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Peter Lambert, who is 6-4 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 64.0 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-39 this year after they won game one by a score of 4-2 last night. Toronto blew a 2-1 lead in the middle innings, but they scored once in the seventh and eighth to get the win. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Okamoto, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI. Cease allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Fisher got the win and Varland picked up the save. Prior to this series, Toronto split two games with the Cubs and swept the Red Sox in three games. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 320 runs with a .250 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 17 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Shane Bieber, who is making his first appearance of the season due to injury. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have lost eight of their last nine Tuesday road games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against the Astros following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against the Astros following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as favorites against the Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the last seven games between the Astros and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Tuesday appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
• Shane Bieber has recorded five or more strikeouts in 21 of his 23 previous appearances against AL West opponents.
• Shane Bieber has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday day appearances.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last seven games.

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto was able to get the win to start this series and they have won four of their last five games. The Blue Jays are 22-18 at home this year, while the Astros are 17-22 on the road. Houston has lost two of their last three games and they have scored two runs or fewer in three straight. The Astros are starting Lambert, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings, while Bieber is making his first appearance. Take the Astros here, as Lambert has been very good this year.

David Racey's Pick: Astros ML