| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 56-52 | 55-53 |
| Spread | +1.5 -193 | -1.5 158 |
| Moneyline | +107 | -129 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-102) | Under 8.5 (-118) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 55-53 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 29-27 home record and are coming off a 7-8 home loss against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Brewers and the Reds next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .260 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .421 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .315 batting average. Ryan O’Hearn leads the team in RBI with 69, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 22 home runs.
Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he has a 2-1 record, 3.72 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 56-52 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 25-30 away record and are coming off an 8-7 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Padres and the Guardians next.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .242 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. Ketel Marte leads the team in RBI with 61, adding a team-high 19 home runs.
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he has a 9-3 record, 2.64 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: July 29, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.72
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: –
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games following an extra innings loss.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez Record this season: 9-3 ERA: 2.64
- Road Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Pirates: 2-1
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Diamondbacks at PNC Park following a loss.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL West opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last six day games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 13 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 4th in the league in Hits (122) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit a home run in two of the Diamondbacks’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Eduardo Rodriguez ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.64) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (980).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (980).
- The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for triples this season (25).
- The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for triples this season (25).
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction
The Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Diamondbacks and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh.
In this Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -130 home favorites. I like the pitching in this matchup with both pitchers having a combined 3.36 ERA and are in excellent form lately, as Jared Jones has given up just three runs across his last four starts and Eduardo Rodriguez has given up two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts. Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between those two teams and 3-1-1 in their 5 meetings this season. Take the under 8 in this one.