| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Spread | +1.5 -181 | -1.5 149 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-108) |
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Saturday, April 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 8-6 on the year and play the Orioles and Blue Jays next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 223 on the season, have a .284 OBP, and have a .364 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 14 hits and 11 RBI while Ildemaro Vargas and Ketel Marte have combined for 23 hits and 11 RBI.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Pfaadt’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 6-7 on the year and play the Cubs and Braves next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .219 on the season and have a .306 OBP, and a .356 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 14 hits and 3 RBI, while Justin Crawford and Brandon Marsh have combined for 24 hits and 10 RBI.
Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 0-2 with a 9.31 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. Walker is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won 13 of their last 14 day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six Saturday-day road games.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 17 games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine day games between the Diamondbacks and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as underdogs.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Pfaadt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Phillies.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last seven road appearances against the Phillies.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank T4th in the league for strikeouts this season (130).
- The Phillies rank T27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.284).
- The Diamondbacks rank T28th in the league for home runs this season (8).
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re the Phillies and they’re at home. Pfaadt also hasn’t been good through 10.2 innings. However, the Diamondbacks have played the better baseball this week and have an offense that’s caught fire. The Phillies have lost 4 of their last 5 games and have scored a combined 4 runs in their last 3 games. Walker has also been even worse than Pfaadt through 9.2 innings. We’re getting the hotter team and the more favorable price. I’ll take it. Give me the Diamondbacks.