Milwaukee Brewers (88-65) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (85-68)
Game Info: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers +105 / Arizona Diamondbacks -125 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 20th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:
- The Diamondbacks’ recent form and recent player performance
- The Brewers’ recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arizona
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
- Recent betting trends in games played between Arizona and Milwaukee
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Arizona and Milwaukee
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 85-68 this season and they have won two games in a row. Arizona won game one in this series by a score of 5-1 on Thursday night. Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Rockies, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won both games against the Rangers. Arizona is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are third in the NL West.
The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks’ offense has scored 840 runs with a .264 batting average and a .337 on-base percentage. Corbin Carroll is batting .233 with 21 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 88-65 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Milwaukee dropped the first game in this series and only scored one run in the game. Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Giants. Milwaukee is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are first in the NL Central.
The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Brewers’ offense has scored 736 runs with a .248 batting average and a .327 on-base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .248 with 32 home runs and 109 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 12-6 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 137.0 innings pitched this year. Gallen has allowed zero earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Colin Rea, who is 12-5 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 156.2 innings pitched this year season. Rea has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts and allowed 10 earned runs in his last start against the Giants.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Brewers
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games at American Family Field.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Diamondbacks and Brewers.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five Friday night games against NL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.64).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1377).
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Arizona was able to come in and win game one in this series on Thursday night with a great pitching performance, and they are 43-35 on the road this season. Milwaukee has struggled offensively over their last three games, but they are 44-31 at home this year. This game does mean a lot for Arizona, as they are fighting for an NL Wild Card spot with the Mets and Braves. The Diamondbacks are going with Gallen, who has allowed zero earned runs in his last two road starts. The Brewers are going with Rea, who was absolutely lit up in his last start. Arizona is the highest-scoring team in the MLB this season and I like them with Gallen on the mound here.