| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-13 | 15-13 |
| Spread | -1.5 157 | +1.5 -191 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -131 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-108) | Under 8.5 (-112) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Wednesday, April 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, April 29th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL Central. They have a 9-7 home record and are coming off a 13-2 home win against the Diamondbacks. Their previous three games were a 5-0 win, a 3-6 and a 0-6 loss at home against the Pirates.
The Brewers have a .238 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .356 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average. Garrett Mitchell leads the team in RBI with 20, and Gary Sanchez adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 0-1 record, 6.45 ERA and 1.57 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL West. They have a 6-7 away record and are coming off a 2-13 road loss against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 12-7 win and a 4-6 loss at home against the Padres, and a 1-4 loss at home against the White Sox.
The Diamondbacks have a .250 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .417 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas is the team’s best hitter with a .370 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 20 and adding a team‑high 6 home runs.
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 2-0 record, 2.89 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: April 29, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 6.45
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against the Diamondbacks.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Diamondbacks.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 2.89
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-3
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 10 Wednesday night games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Wednesday night games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Sal Frelick has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games against the Diamondbacks.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Brice Turang ranks T10th in the league in Steals (7) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in 11 of his 14 previous appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances.
- Gabriel Moreno has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (36).
- The Brewers rank T28th in the league for home runs this season (20).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (10).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (75).
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Brewers are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -125 home favorites. The Dbacks have the pitching edge today, as Eduardo Rodriguez goes up against Brandon Sproat, but Rodriguez is coming off his two worst starts of the season, where he gave up 4 runs in each game. He has been better on the road while Sproat has a 6.08 home ERA and the Brewers have been weaker against lefties. I like the Dbacks in a bounce back spot today for plus money, so take them on the moneyline in this one.