Padres vs Rockies Prediction 5/10/25 MLB Picks

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 6-32 this season after they lost game one by a score of 13-9. Colorado fell behind 5-0 early in the game and they never got back into it. The Rockies recorded 16 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Farmer, who went 2-5 with two RBIs in the loss. Colorado started Senzatela, who allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Herget allowed five hits and four earned runs in 1.1 relief innings. 

Prior to this series, the Rockies lost all three games against the Tigers and three out of four against the Giants. Colorado has lost seven games in a row and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.56 ERA with a 1.58 WHIP and a .295 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 124 runs with a .217 batting average and a .284 on base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with five home runs and 19 RBIs, while Jordan Beck has added six home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Bradley Blalock, who is 0-1 with an 8.03 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 12.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rockies will beat the Padres 

• The Padres have lost each of their last six night games against the Rockies at Coors Field following a road win.
• The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Padres following a home loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Rockies at Coors Field following a road win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Padres at Coors Field following a loss.

Why the Padres will beat the Rockies 

• The Padres have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have lost 14 of their last 15 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have covered the run line each of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies' last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Padres' last 15 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Rockies' last five games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Padres' last five night games at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Ryan McMahon has hit a home run in three of the Rockies' last four night games.
• Kyle Farmer has recorded a Single in each of the Rockies' last four games at Coors Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• German Marquez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• German Marquez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Padres at Coors Field.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Padres' last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Padres' last seven night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Manny Machado has scored at least one run in each of the Padres' last seven games.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres' last five games as favorites against NL opponents.

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Padres vs Rockies Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup trying to snap their losing streak, but their pitching staff has been awful and they have allowed 10+ runs in three straight games. The Rockies are 4-15 at home this year, while the Padres are 10-9 on the road. San Diego is the much better team in this matchup, but they are starting Kolek, who may struggle in his first outing at Coors Field. I know Colorado has been low scoring, but I think we will see plenty of runs. Take the over here.