Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/10/25 MLB Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks (20-19) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (26-13)

Game Info: Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)

D. MAY (R) vs C. Burnes (R)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +100 / Los Angeles Dodgers -120 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 10, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-13, 11-10 Away) won four straight series for the first time this year after beating the Pirates, Marlins (sweep), Braves, and Marlins again. Following a 5-3 loss to the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of the current series, the Dodgers responded with a 14-11 victory last night. Shohei Ohtani led the team with four RBI, while Roki Sasaki pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on five hits with no strikeouts and two walks. Alex Vesia was credited with the win.

This season, the Dodgers average 5.64 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .262/.338/.466 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 3.91 ERA (14th) and 1.29 WHIP (17th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .315 batting average, nine home runs, and 34 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers is Dustin May, who is 1-2 in six starts this season, with a 4.36 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 33.0 innings.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-19, 10-11 Away) won only one series out of the previous five when they beat the New York Mets. After that, they lost to the Phillies and Mets, opened the series against the Dodgers with a 5-3 win, and then lost Game 3, 14-11. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. blasted a grand slam and led his team with five RBI, while Eduardo Rodriguez pitched for 2.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing eight runs on nine hits with three strikeouts and three walks. Kevin Ginkel took the loss.

This year, the Diamondbacks average 5.18 runs per game (5th in the MLB) on a .249/.334/.439 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.68 ERA (25th) and 1.31 WHIP (19th). Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with a .299 batting average, five home runs, and 30 RBI this season.

Corbin Burnes will take the mound for the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in six starts this year with a 3.58 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 32.2 innings.

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Dodgers

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as road favorites following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Dodgers' last eight games as favorites against the Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Twelve of the Diamondbacks' last 14 games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 10 of the Diamondbacks' last 12 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Dodgers' last five night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (53).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.439).
  • The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (62).
  • The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (212).

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The teams traded wins recently, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. The Dodgers did win four of the last six, but I am backing the Diamondbacks in this one because of the pitching matchup and Burnes' qualities over May's. Burnes allowed four runs in his last three starts in total, while May allowed 14 runs in his last three starts. Burnes allowed a .205 BA in 88 at-bats against the Dodgers, and I believe he will manage to limit them in the opening few innings. Back the D-backs.

Oliver’s Pick Diamondbacks ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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