Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 5/10/25 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals (24-16) vs Boston Red Sox (20-20)

Game Info: Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 7:10 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

G. Crochet (L) vs C. Ragans (L)

Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -105 / Boston Red Sox -115 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 10, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (20-20, 9-11 Away) lost the series to the Blue Jays and Twins, but beat the Rangers in two of three games before falling short to the Royals in the opening game of the current series. The Red Sox played 12 innings against Kansas City and lost 2-1. Hunter Dobbins pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on five hits with six strikeouts and no walks, while Sean Newcomb took the loss.

This year, the Red Sox average 4.80 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .250/.324/.412 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.79 ERA (12th) and 1.29 WHIP (18th). Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with a .316 batting average, nine home runs, and 30 RBI this season.

Garrett Crochet will take the mound for the Red Sox on Saturday. The 25-year-old left-hander has a 3-2 record in eight starts this year with a 2.02 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 49.0 innings.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals (24-16, 16-5 Home) are in their best form since the beginning of the season after winning the previous seven games. The Royals swept the Rays, beat the Orioles, and swept the White Sox before defeating the Red Sox 2-1 in Game 1 of the current series. Michael Lorenzen pitched for 7.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on three hits with seven strikeouts and no walks. Steven Cruz was credited with the win.

This year, the Royals average 3.52 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .244/.304/.366 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Royals’ staff has a 2.81 ERA (1st) and 1.15 WHIP (4th). Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with a .216 batting average, six home runs, and 24 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Royals is Cole Ragans, who is 2-1 in seven starts this season, with a 3.79 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 35.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Royals' last 10 night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Red Sox's last five night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last three games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Royals rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (124).
  • The Royals rank T28th in the league for home runs this season (27).
  • The Red Sox rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (45).
  • The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (358).

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction

The Red Sox won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. I am expecting a low-scoring game for a few reasons. The Royals are 13-26 in Over/Under this season, while seven of their previous ten games went Under. Also, the pitching matchup between Crochet and Ragans suggests a slow and inefficient game (in terms of runs) in the first five or six innings. Crochet allowed more than two runs just once this year, and although Ragans has a bit weaker numbers than him, I am sure both will fare well on the mound. Go with the Under.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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